The Junction

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Held by: Steve Ciobo (Minister for Defence Industry) – retiring.

Party: LNP

Since: 2010

Margin:  LNP 14.5% (down from 14.9% following 2018 redistribution)

Redistribution details: Boundaries slightly changed in redistribution. 4,000 voters move from the largely Labor-voting sections of Molendinar (then in Fadden) into Moncrieff.

Key Comments: Ciobo was a hard-right Dutton-backer in the Turnbull spill. Like all federal GC seats, this is sufficiently safe; it will not change hands. The only interesting contest might come from a popular Liberal independent. Labor’s negative gearing and franking credit taxes likely to suppress the Labor vote here.

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