More than 450 households in Newcastle faced eviction last year, as renters across the city are finding themselves locked out of a market where demand far exceeds supply.
Despite being the largest regional city in NSW, Newcastle’s infrastructure is failing to keep pace with its rapidly growing population.

According to the City of Newcastle, the local population is expected to grow by 21.24% between 2021 and 2046, reaching more than 205,000 residents.

The population surge has placed immense pressure on the city’s rental market. As of 2021, 35.6% of the Newcastle population were renting, a steep 10% higher than the regional NSW average.
Meanwhile, vacancy rates plummeted from 1.65% in March 2019 to a mere 0.90% by March 2025.
Some suburbs have been hit harder than others, with vacancy rates as low as 0.42% in Adamstown/Kotara, 0.53% in Lambton/New Lambton, and 0.62% in Merewether/The Junction, as of December 2024.
Currently, Broadmeadow hosts the largest number of renters, according to 2021 census data.
The result is that renters are being left with fewer choices, and in many cases, no home at all.
Students are hard hit
Ella Green* knows this all too well. The 22-year-old low-income earner has been searching for a rental for more than four months, applying to over 90 properties with no luck.
“The blatant discrimination we get… has been the biggest challenge,” she said.
“We’re unable to earn a high income, and a lot of real estate agencies have the idea that students can’t take care of a house.”
Ella, who works casually while studying, said her low income immediately disqualifies her from many rental opportunities.
“Most places are looking for tenants that earn at least 30% more than the rent, which is just impossible for the average student,” she explained.
With the median rent in the Newcastle LGA hitting $800 per week in February 2025 – a 20.3% rise over the past year – affordability has become a major hurdle.
“We are only in our twenties, we don’t earn a large income, or have years of experience living out of home,” Ms Green said.
“During the university semester, my working hours have to drop in order to keep up my studies.
“What are we expected to do when we apply for applications and our income is even smaller?
“This stress has taken over my day to day life, there’s no room to enjoy parts of life when I have a constant dread lingering.”



Evictions are on the rise
Nicole Grgas, coordinator of the Hunter Tenants Advice and Advocacy Service, said Ella’s experience is not isolated, and that no-ground evictions are surging.
“We’ve seen a 30% increase in no-ground evictions over the past six months,” Ms Grgas said.
“It’s pretty bleak.
“Many renters are being forced to leave because the property is sold or the landlord wants it back.
“We’re also seeing more tenants taken to the tribunal because they haven’t been able to find another place before their lease ends.
“We have people saying they’ve never had to do this before, and that they’ve always been able to get somewhere, and that is really changing.”

Data shows 2024 was one of the worst years for Newcastle renters, with more than 450 local households faced with eviction, according to the NSW Civil and Administrative Tribunal.
A similar situation was seen in Lake Macquarie with 438, and in Maitland with 232.
Meanwhile, the figures show the Central Coast to be the worst for renters in regional NSW, with a total of 820 reported last year.
“There are people who have been applying for upwards of three months,” Ms Grgas explained.
“By the time they come to us and are taken to the tribunal, they’ve already applied for 120 properties, sometimes even more.
“It’s pretty soul-crushing for people who come to us with that list and say ‘I have nowhere for my family to go,’ and often their tenancy history is fine.”
Assistance is needed
While the outlook remains grim, Ms Grgas believes solutions do exist.
“In terms of affordability, one thing we can do is increase the rate of rent assistance,” she said.
“So people who are on benefits have a bit more affordability and leverage.
“But also, we need some sort of mechanism that slows down rent increases.
“Without that, the crisis will only get worse.”

In May, the Minns Labor Government introduced new reforms aiming to improve conditions for renters across NSW, including ending no-grounds evictions, minimising rent increases, and banning discrimination against pet owners.
But for low-income renters like Ella, it’s not enough.
“You are expected to prove yourself constantly just to earn a place to sleep at night,” she said.
“It’s enough to make you accept living in a house that is slowly falling apart.”